Name
Leveraging machine learning modeling for groundwater quality prediction in distinct hydrogeologic settings in southwestern Ontario, Canada
Date & Time
Monday, May 25, 2026, 3:15 PM - 3:30 PM
Description
Groundwater is an important source of freshwater for drinking, irrigation, and industrial purposes in many regions. However, groundwater systems are increasingly threatened by quality deterioration driven by intensive agriculture, urbanization, and land use changes. Nitrate and chloride are common contaminants which are key indicators of anthropogenic pressure on aquifer systems. Elevated nitrate concentrations, largely originating from fertilizer application and manure management, pose serious risks to human health and aquatic ecosystems. Also, high chloride levels, often associated with road de-icing salts, can deteriorate water quality and alter subsurface geochemical processes. Machine learning (ML) techniques offer a powerful data-driven alternative for accurate prediction of these ions in groundwater systems by capturing the nonlinear relationships between the involved parameters such as hydrogeology, climate, and land-use characteristics. In the current study, different regression-based ML algorithms (e.g., support vector regression) were adopted to predict nitrate and chloride concentrations in groundwater in different hydrogeological and land use settings. The optimal ML models were selected based on a group of evaluation metrics such as root-mean squared error. In addition, the interdependence between the involved process parameters (e.g., hydrogeological conditions) and groundwater quality was interpreted to determine the governing parameters on the contaminant transport process in sub-surface water. The main outcomes of this study can help decision-makers in developing the most effective groundwater management strategies to protect and improve groundwater quality. In addition, these insights enable the interpolation of nitrate and chloride concentrations from discrete sampling points, facilitating predictions at unmonitored locations across the watersheds.
Location Name
DSU 224
Full Address
Dalhousie University
Halifax NS
Canada
Halifax NS
Canada
Session Type
Oral Presentation
Abstract ID
155
Speaker Organization
University of Guelph
Session Name
IAH-1
Co-authors
Jana Levison, University of Guelph
Andrew Binns, University of Guelph
Marie Larocque, Université du Québec à Montréal (UQAM)
Pradeep Goel, Ontario Ministry of the Environment, Conservation and Parks (MECP)
Presenting Author
Ahmed Elsayed, University of Guelph